Who is right, Democrats with a 54 percent chance of a Trump win in 2020, or Independents with a 82 percent chance of a Trump win in 2020?

https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/447137-cnn-poll-54-percent-say-trump-will-be-re-elected Every Recognized Poll Model Has Trump Winning Reelection The Gallup-only model puts his current chances at 74 percent, and the Aggregate Polling Model puts his chances somewhat higher at 79 percent. The logistic... show more https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/447137-cnn-poll-54-percent-say-trump-will-be-re-elected

Every Recognized Poll Model Has Trump Winning Reelection
The Gallup-only model puts his current chances at 74 percent, and the Aggregate Polling Model puts his chances somewhat higher at 79 percent. The logistic regression model, which is considerably less variable and more optimistic about Trump’s prospects at this point, estimates his chances for re-election at 85 percent.

“America will never be a socialist country,” Trump roared, as the camera focused on the scowling face of Senator Bernie Sanders.
The GOP ovation was thunderous, the Democratic silence revealing. Understandable. For, as in the 1972 49 State Nixon landslide, Democrats appear to be coming down with “McGovernism.”

97 Percent of Blondes Say President Trump Will Win In 2020
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