What is the best way(s) to judge if an outcome is probable?

I think there is one axiom that : Prior outcome(s) determine the likelihood of future outcome(s)

Another one might be based off of pattern recognition, similar to the first: If a variable repeats itself than it is predictable.

What are some other axioms or principles I can use to become a better judge of what is going to happen in life?

2 Answers

Relevance
  • 1 month ago

    You can become a better judge of what is going to happen in one's life

    & their progress say in philosophy if one believes enough actually IN

    the Progress of such philosophy.

    The only way of doing that is by doing work & coursework IN A RECOGNISED

    philosophy & associated COURSE.

    This isn't "for everyone" & if anyone is struggling to understand this then they

    should continue with THEIR OWN studies until & before such a time as they

    could know THAT THEY KNOW OR are interested enough to find such a 

    course.

    I have well described here my own path-to-date (a course I looked for but

    "got lucky" to find & to then apply for.. my luck ran out though as I also

    described.. I now firmly believe that actual breaks from ANY progressive

    philosophy type line is o.k. for a lot of us, even necessary physically as I

    found out.. & between you & me that last century experience has been a

    source of better realisation that even though philosophy will undoubtedly

    change when I am gone, it's PROGRESS may be more difficult to unravel. 

    And this is all enough reason to justify why we can so "carry on" in our 

    philosophy education.. in our learning of more & more & hopefully better 

    & better stuff...

    so to speak!). 

    Source(s): the history of ideas / objective philosophy. A authoritative learning Environment ^.
    • ...Show all comments
    • peter m
      Lv 6
      4 weeks agoReport

      (in fact If it has some progress-able worth this method must have had some such earlier... & this "earlier method version" must be reasonably UNDERSTOOD & so used IF a better version is or can be shown-to-be appropriately that !  Shown adequately & reasonably I add).

    • Commenter avatarLog in to reply to the answers
  • P
    Lv 7
    1 month ago

    Analyse the determining factors and determine the probability of each component occuring. Do the same for alternative outcomes and compare the probability of each outcome. 

    Prior outcomes cannot determine future outcomes if random variable factors are involved. It may only be valid if factors can be predicted accurately by physical laws and all tolerances are known eg as in type testing and mathematical modeling to determine continuing compliance with a specific standard

    • ...Show all comments
    • P
      Lv 7
      1 month agoReport

      Picking up on your own personal theme, in quantum physics outcomes are be determined by outside observation, only existing up to that point as probability. Previous outcomes are not influential, hence Schrodingers cat

    • Commenter avatarLog in to reply to the answers
Still have questions? Get answers by asking now.