Is the death rate from Coronavirus over-estimated?
We actually KNOW that these death rates of 1-3% are over-estimated due to the fact that we know that not everyone or even close to everyone with the disease has been tested. The REAL question is how much. This virus MAY be less deadly than the flu or 10 times more deadly.
- Common SenseLv 72 months ago
This virus is not like your typical flu, so all numbers are estimated as a projection in to the future. We don't know how many people are carrying the virus that don't even know about it, who are also spreading it to other people. There are several layers to this head count.
If everybody, and I mean every body would just stay home and keep themselves isolated except to go out to the grocery store the pharmacy and otherwise stay distant from one another, we could stop this virus from spreading. But people are not taking it seriously so it will continue to spread and take more lives on the way.
It is difficult to estimate the death rate because not everybody who has the virus or carries the virus is going to die.
- RichardLv 62 months ago
If you just go by the numbers, it has an approximate 1.4% mortality rate. However, the need for social distancing is not over- exaggerated, since it is way more contagious that the flu, which is what many people try to compare it too. Add to the fact, there is no vaccine yet, but we learn more day by day.
- Anonymous2 months ago
The numbers are changing far too rapidly for anyone to be up to date. Thus, take that into consideration. Are numbers being intentionally exaggerated? ... of course that's possible and of course it can happen both ways. When it's intended to be deceptive of course we don't know unless discovered. Some day the crisis will be behind us and history will record what it considers most accurate. Until then, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Look at the rest of the world for numbers that reflect consistency. When health is at stake, it's better to err on the side of caution. If someone convinces another it's OK to be reckless because they don't believe the numbers and someone gets infected ... both are the fool.
- 2 months ago
Most yes and they are not running complete test for actually other causes but associating it all with CV 19.
Pneumonia for example is not CV !19 but if you HAVE cv 19 and Pneumonia and you die they call it CV 19.. 'IF they remove all other causes according to some the CV 19 deaths would actually be less than 1% of the people who have got it.' THEY do not list all the numbers on KNOWN CASES who got over it and MANY people get it and never know it and get over it. THAT'S A PROVEN FACT.
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- 2 months ago
It is still to early to say. There are NOT enough tests.
My city is the epicenter of the entire County. I know 3 different people who are sick, similar symptoms, went to their doctors, were refused the testing. They all came back as Flu Negative. These doctors would not give them the CV test, regardless of how many they might have on-hand.
This is contrary to our local media (Detroit) that points out adequate testing locations. Unlike Vegas and other cities, even there's a drive-up, you still have to get a dr. approval to even be tested. So we have many walking around, sick, with symptoms, and either no tests are available or the drs., for their own reasons, are hoarding up the tests.
These people will not ever fit into the numbers of who tested positive. They are not being tested.
- FlyInTheOintmentLv 42 months ago
Since no antibody testing has been done to date in the US and only a very limited amount of testing for Covid 19 has been done, it is not possible to get a correct # but somewhere around .9 to 2% would be my educated guess. I am pretty sure we have had coronavirus here in US in certain places longer than we think and we have probably had many thousands of recovered folks who never knew they had it. When we have those figures through testing than we can establish the actual rate, until then we can only guess. Prepare for the worst while hoping for the best outcome is a good idea.
- RamiroLv 52 months ago
1 death is too many bro, it doesn't matter how big or how small the percentage numbers of deaths are. We must treat all viruses just as seriously as any other. Better safe than sorry.
- 2 months ago
Numbers can be skewed. Already in our State one patient reported died from COVID-19 but later found out it was not COVID-19. An autopsy discovered this error.
- TaylorLv 62 months ago
There’s a fatality rate and a mortality rate. The fatality rate is the percent of a population that dies of something. It’s easy to measure. The mortality rate in the case of a virus is the ratio of people who get the virus to those who die from it. As the article indicates, the vast majority of people who get the virus and recover were not tested and counted. As a result the measured mortality rate that is often quoted is way over inflated. It also means death estimates based on this flawed statistic are also over inflated.
- KjelstadLv 62 months ago
We know it is overwhelming hospitals. That should be enough info